Issue dated - 19th July 2004

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Keane Insight

Minimise your risk

An organisation differentiates itself by its ability to effectively manage risk says Teresa Leung

Business risks are a given. Fortunately they can be managed. Enterprises need to classify and identify these risks before they source solutions to manage them. Risks exist in the different layers of business. For instance, a financial institution faces market risk, structural risk, credit risk and operational risk. “Some risks, such as credit risk, can affect many different industries,” says Terry Wong, principal of risk management at the SAS Institute. This is because credit risk is associated with failure to make payments on time.

Risks can be defined and classified, but risk management is another tale. It is a broad concept that rings different bells in different organisations. ‘To explain it in layman terms, it is an approach to manage the vulnerability of an organisation.’ The organisation can apply an integrated and strategic approach to handle this exposure through a risk management process involving technology, knowledge and people,” says Linda Hui who is the managing director at F5 Networks-HongKong. Christopher Marshall, who is the senior director for banking and risk management at Oracle Asia-Pacific, says that risk management is more about managing risks in a cost-effective manner, rather than reducing risk.

Managing risk with technology

Though software applications can help companies identify, measure, and manage risk, they play only a small part in the risk management process. The core components of risk management may have nothing to do with the applications that one uses. The best risk management practice involves defining goals and objectives, cultural changes, sharing a common risk language in the organisation, defining the oversight structure, developing a business risk management strategy, and implementing risk control processes. All these cannot be done by simply deploying applications.

Different types of risks have specific software applications to measure them. For example, market risk management systems take information about market portfolios, and convert them to measure a portfolio’s sensitivity to market changes. The measure of the market risk of an investor’s portfolio may include stocks, bond, and mutual funds.

Such systems combine information about a portfolio’s sensitivity to economic changes or other events that impact the market with information about the likely range of possible market shifts.

Different risks require different mechanisms

Credit risk applications take historical data about defaults in a particular market segment, and use it to estimate the likelihood of future defaults or credit rating migration of a particular company or a borrower. Combining the probability that a company will default, the user’s exposure to that company and the value of a contract or the size of a loan gives a company a measure of the likely losses it could face over a given time period.

When it comes to structural risk, which is associated with interest rate fluctuations, financial institutions typically measure it using ALM (asset liability management) systems. According to Marshall, some ALM systems project a wide range of possible interest rate scenarios and evaluate how the bank’s portfolio of cash flow performs in different scenarios. The result is a measure of risk for the bank as a whole.

Today, many risk management applications are used to measure risks faced by financial institutions such as market risk, operational risk and structural risk. These are largely due to the Basel II requirements that aim to improve the safety and soundness of the financial system by aligning capital adequacy assessment more closely with the underlying risks in the banking industry.

To deal with security risks, companies can contact security software providers for software solutions and consultancy firms for help in formulating security policies. Unfortunately, even with risk management technology not much can be done about environmental risks, such as natural disasters, terrorist attacks, change in governmental regulations, says Hui. “These risks are hard to quantify and unquantifiable risks are hard to manage,” she says. Smaller companies are wrong to think they have no risk management needs. Enterprises need to think in terms of the sophistication of their business when it comes to risk.

Both small and large companies are likely to deal with complex scenarios and large volumes of complex data. Without the proper use of risk management tools, they are likely to lose out from the lack of understanding of the risks facing them.

Types of risks
  • Market risk—organised around the risk of interest rate fluctuations, currency fluctuations, equity fluctuations and commodity fluctuations and how they might affect some key performance measure, typically the value of a portfolio or the level of net income of a firm.
  • Structural risk—associated with interest rate fluctuations and their effect on business net income or portfolio value.
  • Operational risk—centres around operational failures or incidents and their impacts on the functioning of a business.
  • Credit risk—factors that make client and counter party defaults more likely, and makes estimates of typical losses that could be expected with a corporation’s accounts receivable or with a bank’s loan portfolio as a result of defaults.

—Asia Computer Weekly

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