Issue dated - 13th January 2003

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Q3 results to influence trends

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R Bhatia

The markets continued to move in range-bound trend on low volumes, due to lack of any institutional participation cued by the holiday week. Traders and speculators were seen buying into a few PSU and infotech stocks, ahead of the earning season. FIIs continued to remain net buyers, albeit on limited purchases. Mutual funds were also net buyers, propping up their sagging NAVs during the last week of the calendar year.

The markets have remained subdued due to the holiday season. Fatigue seems to have set in as volumes continued to remain low. The tensions in the Gulf region and rising crude prices added to market woes. The markets are now likely to continue to correct in a sideways pattern, unless some adverse news initiates a fresh downslide. The Q3 results to be declared this month are likely to shape the trend on the markets. Any earning warnings or bad results, especially from the infotech sector, are likely to see a sell-off on the markets.

CMC
It moved in a range of Rs 52.90, touching an intra-day low of Rs 477 on December 26 and an intra-day high of Rs 529.90 on December 31. The CMC stock has been able to move above the Rs 525 level, after it succeeded in sustaining above the Rs 477 level, but failed to stay there due to profit booking. The upward trend is likely to continue with intermediate corrective bouts. It faces resistance at the Rs 531 level.

Digital GlobalSoft
It moved in a narrow range of Rs 25.70, touching an intra-day low of Rs 615.70 on December 30 and intra-day high of Rs 641.40 on December 31. The upward trend is likely to continue with occasional bouts of correction and it is likely to face resistance at the Rs 693 level. On the downside, the Rs 620 level would be an important support level.

HCL Technologies
The HCL Tech stock moved in a narrow range of Rs 7.45, touching an intra-day low of Rs 184.25 and an intra-day high of Rs 191.70. It has continued to move in a range-bound trend. The Rs 200 level continues to elude the HCL stock. It is important that it moves above this level for any upward trend to be initiated. It is likely to face resistance at the Rs 199 level. On the downside, it is likely to take support at the Rs 180 level.

Infosys Technologies
It moved in a range of Rs 144.40, touching an intra-day low of Rs 4,680.50 on December 30 and an intra-day high of Rs 4,824.90 on January 1. It is likely to test the Rs 4,874 level hereafter. The Q3 numbers and future guidance would thereafter decide the medium-term trend of the stock.

NIIT
It moved in a narrow range of Rs 14.90, touching an intra-day high of Rs 194.35 on December 26 and an intra-day low of Rs 179.45 on December 30. Profit booking at higher levels resulted in a fall on the NIIT stock. It has also fallen below the Rs 183 level, without completing the 12-day cycle. Therefore, it is important that it now consolidates at the present level, for a sharp upward trend to unfold. On the downside, the Rs 150 level is an important support level.

Satyam Computers
It moved in a narrow range of Rs 14.25, touching an intra-day low of Rs 291.30 on December 29 and an intra-day high of Rs 277.05 on December 31. The stock has stayed below the resistance level of Rs 292, and must move above this level for an upward trend to start. On the downside, the Rs 264 level is an important support level.

View the STRATSTAR FUND WIZARD BUY/SELL REPORT FOR 06/01/2003

Nasdaq
The Nasdaq continued to move in a sideways pattern due to the holiday season. Tensions on the Gulf situation are also affecting the sentiment on the US markets, as any war could delay the economic recovery in the US. The Nasdaq continues to face resistance at the 1387 level. On the downside, the 1319 level is an important support level.
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