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Sentiment on the bourses turned positive as war clouds between
India and Pakistan seemed to recede, thanks to positive statements
from the leaders of both countries at Almaty. The bourses
have once again seen sustained activity from traders and speculators
since the last few trading sessions. Activity on the whole
was broadbased and was witnessed generally in index heavyweights,
including pharma and second rung tech stocks, as traders built
up speculative positions. FIIs however have been net sellers
during the last few trading sessions, which is a cause of
concern. Mutual funds on the other hand have been net buyers
on the bourses, buying into value counters. While their purchases
have been limited, the positive fact however is that they
have turned buyers after a long time.
Technically, even though market sentiment has turned positive,
conditions could change quickly with any adverse news on the
Indo-Pak situation. The benchmark BSE Sensex looks ready for
a 150-200 point rally amidst high bouts of volatility, if
no negative surprises are thrown up or if it crosses the 3270
level decisively. Another positive factor for the Sensex is
that it is closer to going above its 200-day moving average
and this could happen in a few trading sessions. Selling pressure
will be seen at higher levels due to profit booking by traders
and speculators. The only sign of worry remains FII investments
that have continued to remain limited as FIIs stay on the
sidelines.
CMC
The CMC stock moved in a range of Rs 65 during the course
of the week, touching an intra-day high of Rs 675 on May 30
and an intra-day low of Rs 610 on May 31. Technically, the
Rs 672 level continues to be an important resistance level
for the stock. Even though it has moved above this level,
it was unable to sustain itself and has since seen a fall.
For any rally to take place it is important that the Rs 672
level is crossed decisively.
Digital Globalsoft
The Digital stock has moved in a range of Rs 115.90, touching
an intra-day high of Rs 730 on June 6 and an intra-day low
of Rs 614.10 on May 31. As we had indicated in our last issue,
the Digital stock witnessed a corrective rally and moved above
the Rs 670 level but was unable to stay at that level due
to profit booking. It is important that the Digital stock
moves above the Rs 670 level for any uptrend to be witnessed.
Infosys
The Infosys stock has moved in a range of Rs 285, touching
an intra-day high of Rs 3,570 on May 30 and an intra-day low
of Rs 3,285 on June 4. The stock continued to move in a lacklustre
manner, which was because of the lack of speculative interest
in the stock from the investor community. Further, due to
the opening of the i-flex Solutions primary issue and the
TCS issue, which is going to hit the primary market in the
near future, attention has been diverted from Infosys.
NIIT
The NIIT stock continued to move in a narrow range of Rs 29.35,
touching an intra-day high of Rs 270 on June 5 and an intra-day
low of Rs 240.65 on May 31. If sentiment on the bourses stays
positive, the NIIT stock could test the Rs 274.65 level in
the next few trading sessions.
Satyam Computers
The Satyam stock moved in a range of Rs 22.80 during the course
of the week, touching an intra-day high of Rs 238.90 on June
5 and an intra-day low of Rs 216.10 on May 31. Technically,
the Satyam stock has stayed above its 200-day moving average,
which is a positive sign. It is likely to face some selling
pressure due to profit booking and is also likely to face
resistance at the Rs 238.90 level. Hence, it is important
for the Satyam stock to move above this level decisively for
any further rally to take place.
View the STRATSTAR
FUND WIZARD
| Nasdaq |
| As
we mentioned in our last issue, the underlying weakness
on the Nasdaq continued and it declined further to close
at the 1562.56 level. Even though it fell below the support
level of 1573 it was quick to bounce back and move above
this level the very next trading day. The Nasdaq has formed
a minor positive divergence on daily as well as weekly
charts and is likely to witness a rally in the near future.
This, along with positive statements from US Federal Reserve
chief Alan Greenspan would help the Nasdaq to post a rally,
which would help it to cross the 1631 level. |
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