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18th February 2002

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Excitement returns to the markets

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R Bhatia

Excitement returned to the markets last week, after a dull and listless period of stagnation. This was cued by the successful divestment of VSNL, which went to the Tatas; and IBP, which went to Indian Oil. Adding to the euphoria came the government’s announcements positively tilted in the favour of the sugar and pharma industries. Marketmen read this as a precursor to what the budget’s tone could be, and this definitely infused enthusiasm amongst the big players.

Nasdaq
The NASDAQ continues to show short-term weakness. Presently the index is below its 200 and 100 day moving average and it could continue to slide down before finding support at the 1742 and 1717 levels. This however, should be construed as a correction as the long-term outlook is significantly bullish.

The benchmark BSE Sensex rose by 115.66 points (3.49%) on 6th February helped by a strong rise in all the PSU stocks. These gains did trickle down to other sectorial stocks like infotech and pharma and a broadbased rally was witnessed accompanied by good volumes. Technically, the markets will continue moving upward, amidst intermediate corrections. The benchmark BSE Sensex faces resistance at the 3525 level on the Weekly charts and if this level is successfully crossed, a sharp rise could unfold. Thereafter the index will have to stay above this level initially for four trading days and later for 12 trading days for this level to become a strong support level. A good budget and the passing of the Convergence Bill in the Parliament could act as a booster to the impending bull run.

CMC

The stock is presently in a consolidation phase and could move in a sideways manner before resuming its upward journey. On the downside its minor and major support levels are placed at Rs 288 and Rs 207, while on a rise the scrip could find resistance at Rs 417 and Rs 515 respectively.

Digital Globalsoft

Wipro
After a brief period of correction the Wipro stock has again started to rally and this move should take the stock above by Rs.1860 level. The scrip is strongly bullish.

The stock continues to remain bullish and the upward journey will continue in the coming week too, albeit with corrections. The only worrying factor for the stock is that the consolidation phase is not unfolding which could remove the steam from the stock and possibly initiate an intermediate fall.

HCL Technologies
The stock could struggle between the Rs 320 and Rs 330 level and could move in a sideways pattern for a few trading sessions. It is essential that the stock moves above the Rs 330 level comfortably for any upward movement to sustain in the stock.

Infosys
Presently undergoing a correction, this bellwether infotech stock of Indian IT sector continues to remain above its 200 day moving average and should cross the Rs 4150 level without any difficulty.

NIIT
The NIIT stock should continue to rise and should easily cross the Rs 257 mark in the coming few weeks.

Satyam Computers
Rumours of the Rajus selling their stake in Satyam Computers to a foreign company has been making the rounds for quite some time, although the Rajus have denied it. The upward bullishness in the Satyam stock is purely technical and continues and we should see it moving above the Rs 332 level without any difficulty.

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