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11th February 2002

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Network gear makers hope for revenue boost

Network equipment makers, still staggering after a sharp drop in technology spending by major clients last year, say orders are beginning to trickle in and hope their fortunes will brighten later this year. Juniper Networks president and chief executive Scott Kriens told a San Francisco conference last week that the broad technology industry has survived the worst of the downturn—made worse by the Internet boom’s bust and recession. “I think we are in the back-end of the fallout phase,” he said.

Scott Kriens

Kriens’ view echoed Juniper’s fourth-quarter report and its current quarter outlook. The No 2 maker of Internet gear behind Cisco Systems, in mid-month posted a net loss of $5.1 million, or 2 cents a share, compared with net income of $62.2 million, or 18 cents a share a year ago. Revenues fell nearly 49 percent to $151 million.

Juniper said it expects that in its current first quarter it will post revenues between $150 million and $155 million, and earnings excluding charges—or pro forma earnings—of 3 cents a share, versus 5 cents in its fourth quarter.

Guidance of essentially flat revenue suggests sales are stabilising as customers cut excess inventory, or place new orders to replace ageing equipment, according to analysts.

Gear makers’ sales plunged throughout 2001 as telecom carriers and Internet service providers slashed spending.

But there have been recent signs that sales could improve. Cisco chief executive John Chambers this month said that customer budgets, while cautious, could rise.

A Ciena vice president of product portfolio management said it was too early to call a sector rebound, but noted that inventory excesses are beginning to be corrected. He also said telecom traffic on major routes was reaching the point where new investments would be needed.

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